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  3. Historians will, I predict, regard the current situation as the American Civil War II.

Historians will, I predict, regard the current situation as the American Civil War II.

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  • regguy@mstdn.socialR regguy@mstdn.social

    @cmthiede I keep running scenarios through my head that make ranked choice voting terribly unclear.

    Let's say we have five candidates. C1 and C2 get 33% first round votes. C3, C4, and C5 all get 11%. Now in Round 2, C4 got 40%, but C3-5 were eliminated, yet round 1 and 2 give C4 a majority. But some of those votes come from C1 and C2.

    I don't see how it works. I'm consistently confused by the logic.

    @msbellows @heidilifeldman @mastoreaderio

    cmthiede@social.vivaldi.netC This user is from outside of this forum
    cmthiede@social.vivaldi.netC This user is from outside of this forum
    cmthiede@social.vivaldi.net
    schrieb zuletzt editiert von
    #58

    @RegGuy @msbellows @heidilifeldman @mastoreaderio I don't know that anyone has settled on the logic beyond the name sounding catchier than explaining a runoff election midsummer to crank things up a notch. If it gets rid of the Nader Effect, I don't care what it's called. I'd be happy if both sides had a serious discussion about it out loud so everyone can hear.

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    • regguy@mstdn.socialR regguy@mstdn.social

      @cmthiede I keep running scenarios through my head that make ranked choice voting terribly unclear.

      Let's say we have five candidates. C1 and C2 get 33% first round votes. C3, C4, and C5 all get 11%. Now in Round 2, C4 got 40%, but C3-5 were eliminated, yet round 1 and 2 give C4 a majority. But some of those votes come from C1 and C2.

      I don't see how it works. I'm consistently confused by the logic.

      @msbellows @heidilifeldman @mastoreaderio

      colo_lee@mstdn.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
      colo_lee@mstdn.socialC This user is from outside of this forum
      colo_lee@mstdn.social
      schrieb zuletzt editiert von
      #59

      @RegGuy I'm interested in RCV.
      But I don't think it's one weird trick to save democracy...

      @cmthiede @msbellows @heidilifeldman @mastoreaderio

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      • joblakely@mastodon.socialJ joblakely@mastodon.social

        @heidilifeldman

        Democracy was never meant to be done by election. Athenians knew it would captured by oligarchs. It was meant to be by sortition.
        I modified this idea & how it could be structured & why. What I envision is completely different to what we have now. It’s a different democratic model, using a version of sortition. What I envision is practical & develops interdependence, understanding, experience, skills, while solving real problems.
        https://mastodon.social/@JoBlakely/110531598480099232

        grovewest@mstdn.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
        grovewest@mstdn.socialG This user is from outside of this forum
        grovewest@mstdn.social
        schrieb zuletzt editiert von
        #60

        @JoBlakely @heidilifeldman I just received a notice for jury duty. We accept the judgement of somewhat randomly chosen candidates for a jury so I can see sortition as a more democratic method than elections.

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        • regguy@mstdn.socialR regguy@mstdn.social

          @cmthiede I keep running scenarios through my head that make ranked choice voting terribly unclear.

          Let's say we have five candidates. C1 and C2 get 33% first round votes. C3, C4, and C5 all get 11%. Now in Round 2, C4 got 40%, but C3-5 were eliminated, yet round 1 and 2 give C4 a majority. But some of those votes come from C1 and C2.

          I don't see how it works. I'm consistently confused by the logic.

          @msbellows @heidilifeldman @mastoreaderio

          cpr320@frontrange.coC This user is from outside of this forum
          cpr320@frontrange.coC This user is from outside of this forum
          cpr320@frontrange.co
          schrieb zuletzt editiert von
          #61

          @RegGuy @cmthiede @msbellows @heidilifeldman @mastoreaderio Just think of it one vote at a time. Your vote says "I prefer C1, but if she gets eliminated I'll vote for C2 instead."

          Your vote says exactly what you would do if there were a series of run-off elections.

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          • regguy@mstdn.socialR regguy@mstdn.social

            @cmthiede I keep running scenarios through my head that make ranked choice voting terribly unclear.

            Let's say we have five candidates. C1 and C2 get 33% first round votes. C3, C4, and C5 all get 11%. Now in Round 2, C4 got 40%, but C3-5 were eliminated, yet round 1 and 2 give C4 a majority. But some of those votes come from C1 and C2.

            I don't see how it works. I'm consistently confused by the logic.

            @msbellows @heidilifeldman @mastoreaderio

            cpr320@frontrange.coC This user is from outside of this forum
            cpr320@frontrange.coC This user is from outside of this forum
            cpr320@frontrange.co
            schrieb zuletzt editiert von
            #62

            @RegGuy @cmthiede @msbellows @heidilifeldman @mastoreaderio I don't understand this: "...yet round 1 and 2 give C4 a majority." It sounds like you want to put the two rounds together, but they are separate.

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            • regguy@mstdn.socialR regguy@mstdn.social

              @cmthiede I keep running scenarios through my head that make ranked choice voting terribly unclear.

              Let's say we have five candidates. C1 and C2 get 33% first round votes. C3, C4, and C5 all get 11%. Now in Round 2, C4 got 40%, but C3-5 were eliminated, yet round 1 and 2 give C4 a majority. But some of those votes come from C1 and C2.

              I don't see how it works. I'm consistently confused by the logic.

              @msbellows @heidilifeldman @mastoreaderio

              jetsoft@hachyderm.ioJ This user is from outside of this forum
              jetsoft@hachyderm.ioJ This user is from outside of this forum
              jetsoft@hachyderm.io
              schrieb zuletzt editiert von
              #63

              @RegGuy @cmthiede @msbellows @heidilifeldman @mastoreaderio only one candidate gets eliminated at a time. So in your example assuming c3 c4 c5 weren't exactly the same let's say 11.3% 11.4% 11.5% so c3 gets eliminated. His 11.3% is allocated however the voters wanted. Some to each of c1, c2, c4 and c5. Then repeat for new lowest ranked.

              Not sure what would happen in a draw where two lowest candidates have exactly same number. I'm sure it's covered in the Australian system. Possibly a coin toss. But very unlikely to have exactly the same number of votes.

              jetsoft@hachyderm.ioJ 1 Antwort Letzte Antwort
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              • heidilifeldman@mastodon.socialH heidilifeldman@mastodon.social

                Historians will, I predict, regard the current situation as the American Civil War II. Certainly we are in a civil war, instigated by the federal government, when it began sending unnecessary and militarized forces into American cities. (See pinned post.) 1/

                npars01@mstdn.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                npars01@mstdn.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                npars01@mstdn.social
                schrieb zuletzt editiert von
                #64

                @heidilifeldman

                These are the people who bought an election for MAGA...

                They are responsible for what Trump's done to America.

                We need to know the identity of every donor.

                1. SpaceX $288,723,409
                2. Adelson Clinic/Miriam Adelson $146,881,700
                3. Uline Inc $146,027,201
                4. Citadel LLC $108,669,316
                5. Susquehanna International Group $101,468,362
                6. Andreessen Horowitz $89,036,553
                7. Empower Parents PAC $82,500,000
                8. Coinbase $79,008,020
                9. Elliott Management $68,846,510

                npars01@mstdn.socialN 1 Antwort Letzte Antwort
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                • jetsoft@hachyderm.ioJ jetsoft@hachyderm.io

                  @RegGuy @cmthiede @msbellows @heidilifeldman @mastoreaderio only one candidate gets eliminated at a time. So in your example assuming c3 c4 c5 weren't exactly the same let's say 11.3% 11.4% 11.5% so c3 gets eliminated. His 11.3% is allocated however the voters wanted. Some to each of c1, c2, c4 and c5. Then repeat for new lowest ranked.

                  Not sure what would happen in a draw where two lowest candidates have exactly same number. I'm sure it's covered in the Australian system. Possibly a coin toss. But very unlikely to have exactly the same number of votes.

                  jetsoft@hachyderm.ioJ This user is from outside of this forum
                  jetsoft@hachyderm.ioJ This user is from outside of this forum
                  jetsoft@hachyderm.io
                  schrieb zuletzt editiert von
                  #65

                  @RegGuy @cmthiede @msbellows @heidilifeldman @mastoreaderio https://www.aec.gov.au/Voting/counting/complex-count.htm
                  Still looking for the tie break but a good explanation if the Australian system.

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                  • dcdeejay@mastodon.onlineD dcdeejay@mastodon.online

                    @heidilifeldman I wonder if there is a more precise term than civil war, where one or more groups of citizens are at war with each other.

                    This situation, when the government is waging war with one group of citizens (supposedly) on behalf of another, may not have a commonly used term to accurately describe it.

                    I think it's an important distinction, because Americans are not fighting Americans, even if some in government would love to change that. We shouldn't help them normalize the idea.

                    cmthiede@social.vivaldi.netC This user is from outside of this forum
                    cmthiede@social.vivaldi.netC This user is from outside of this forum
                    cmthiede@social.vivaldi.net
                    schrieb zuletzt editiert von
                    #66

                    @dcdeejay @heidilifeldman I think it's called revolution. But, the party pushing the Civil War angle is the same one that already used Revolution for pitching AI, to sell the new Industrial Revolution. They've been solving problems that nobody asked to be solved, for so long, using everyone's money but their own, they never thought anyone would stop to notice. The whole world was gifted a moment of reflection thanks to COVID. Who ever thought people would want to stick their face right back in the oven?

                    ¯\_(ツ_)/¯

                    https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/documentary/american-voices/

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                    • npars01@mstdn.socialN npars01@mstdn.social

                      @heidilifeldman

                      These are the people who bought an election for MAGA...

                      They are responsible for what Trump's done to America.

                      We need to know the identity of every donor.

                      1. SpaceX $288,723,409
                      2. Adelson Clinic/Miriam Adelson $146,881,700
                      3. Uline Inc $146,027,201
                      4. Citadel LLC $108,669,316
                      5. Susquehanna International Group $101,468,362
                      6. Andreessen Horowitz $89,036,553
                      7. Empower Parents PAC $82,500,000
                      8. Coinbase $79,008,020
                      9. Elliott Management $68,846,510

                      npars01@mstdn.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                      npars01@mstdn.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                      npars01@mstdn.social
                      schrieb zuletzt editiert von
                      #67

                      2/

                      No more faceless, nameless billionaires buying the destruction of democracy & the planet.

                      10. Securing American Greatness $67,558,284
                      11. Senate Leadership Fund $67,445,300
                      12. Club for Growth $59,846,594
                      13. Koch Inc $49,092,685
                      14. Blackstone Group $48,609,890
                      15.  Stand Together Chamber of Commerce $44,801,948
                      16. Restoration PAC $41,168,363
                      17. Crownquest Operating $35,752,512
                      18. Bigelow Aerospace $34,991,590
                      19. Building America's Future $33,670,000
                      20. Stephens Inc $27,343,518

                      npars01@mstdn.socialN 1 Antwort Letzte Antwort
                      0
                      • npars01@mstdn.socialN npars01@mstdn.social

                        2/

                        No more faceless, nameless billionaires buying the destruction of democracy & the planet.

                        10. Securing American Greatness $67,558,284
                        11. Senate Leadership Fund $67,445,300
                        12. Club for Growth $59,846,594
                        13. Koch Inc $49,092,685
                        14. Blackstone Group $48,609,890
                        15.  Stand Together Chamber of Commerce $44,801,948
                        16. Restoration PAC $41,168,363
                        17. Crownquest Operating $35,752,512
                        18. Bigelow Aerospace $34,991,590
                        19. Building America's Future $33,670,000
                        20. Stephens Inc $27,343,518

                        npars01@mstdn.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                        npars01@mstdn.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                        npars01@mstdn.social
                        schrieb zuletzt editiert von
                        #68

                        3/

                        Funders of fascism.

                        21. British American Tobacco $26,175,838
                        22. American Prosperity Alliance $22,549,000
                        23. Manzanita Management Group $22,159,143
                        24. America First Action/America First Policies $21,724,798
                        25. Mountaire Corp $21,375,080
                        26. Reyes Holdings $21,192,607
                        27. Energy Transfer LP $19,321,695
                        28. Hendricks Holding Co $19,306,538

                        https://www.opensecrets.org/elections-overview/top-organizations

                        1. Elon Musk $291,482,587
                        2. Timothy Mellon $197,047,200
                        3. Miriam Adelson $148,304,900
                        4. Richard Uihlein $143,498,936

                        npars01@mstdn.socialN 1 Antwort Letzte Antwort
                        0
                        • npars01@mstdn.socialN npars01@mstdn.social

                          3/

                          Funders of fascism.

                          21. British American Tobacco $26,175,838
                          22. American Prosperity Alliance $22,549,000
                          23. Manzanita Management Group $22,159,143
                          24. America First Action/America First Policies $21,724,798
                          25. Mountaire Corp $21,375,080
                          26. Reyes Holdings $21,192,607
                          27. Energy Transfer LP $19,321,695
                          28. Hendricks Holding Co $19,306,538

                          https://www.opensecrets.org/elections-overview/top-organizations

                          1. Elon Musk $291,482,587
                          2. Timothy Mellon $197,047,200
                          3. Miriam Adelson $148,304,900
                          4. Richard Uihlein $143,498,936

                          npars01@mstdn.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                          npars01@mstdn.socialN This user is from outside of this forum
                          npars01@mstdn.social
                          schrieb zuletzt editiert von
                          #69

                          4/

                          The people who bought themselves a civil war & a WW3 to avoid taxation

                          5. Ken Griffin $108,402,284
                          6. Jeff Yass $101,128,680
                          7. Paul E. Singer $66,800,800
                          8. Marc Andreessen $42,365,113
                          9. Stephen Schwarzman $40,202,039
                          10. Timothy Dunn $35,780,200
                          11. Rob Bigelow $34,991,500
                          12. Diane Hendricks $33,165,417
                          13. JJ Ricketts $32,273,650
                          14. Shirley W. Ryan $32,198,116
                          15. Warren A. Stephens $25,895,650
                          16. Laura Perlmutter $25,344,890
                          17. Vince & Linda McMahon $23,961,659

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